Shaho Shamal Robots and future labor at market The digitization is perhaps the single factor that has the greatest potential to transform the labor market. Will it marginalize people or reinvigorate them? Is there a need to provide digitization opponent? It is likely that also the jobs which until now has been considered impossible to automate, for example. know jobs will be in the future. 13-06-2014
Will there be a need for people? Looking at developments in artificial intelligence and digital agents, someone will argue that it is only a matter of time before we get computers that have the equivalent of - and later far surpasses - human intelligence. Intelligence is not a clearly defined concept, but there are criteria for when we can talk about that a computer has human intelligence. The so-called Turing test says that when one is not aware that it is a computer that you talk to, but think that it is a human being, then you have computer intelligence equal to human intelligence. On that day, you can chat with a computer, but think it is a human being, is perhaps not so distant, but it is important to emphasize that there is great uncertainty about the timeframe. Estimates range from a few years over 20-30 years to never. Whether these visions are redeemed or not, there are a number of immediate consequences for the labor of artificial intelligence and digital agents. First, agents ideally suited to match supply and demand for labor. It can already be seen in the many jobdatabase success on the Internet. Short, the labor market work better as a result of digitization. Digital agents and the long-term artificial intelligence is better to handle the large amounts of information that the labor market can be described using. That does not, of course bottlenecks, etc., but ensures that the existing human resources fully, which in turn allows for high capacity without inflationary pressures. The digitization makes it probably easier to establish and develop looser employment. Today, the transaction costs associated with finding a team for a short-term task will be so large that it can not pay. It can help in the digitization, and just this is one of the driving forces behind the emergence of the so-called "free agents". On the labor market, further growth in expert systems, etc. initially lead to aid employees in their work, as, for instance. 've seen the credit rating systems in the financial sector. In the longer term, it is also possible that these systems can completely replace human labor. Sat at the tip, there is therefore little evidence of a violent automation of knowledge work in the coming years. Much of what today would be called as an expert or specialist work can be digitized or be supported so strongly of expert systems that can be performed by workers without expert or specialist background, precisely because expertise is about to have a special knowledge.
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